Guaranteed Cappers

Toronto's offense has been frustrated by the Bruins goalie Swayman as the Leafs have averaged 1.8 goals per game in this series and despite of finding a way to keep the Bruins off the board last time out  are at a disadvantage here on foreign ice. Note:Prior to the last game the buds had allowed three goals per game in thjis series vs the Bruins and has only held the Bruins to less than three goals in two of the five games this series and were 1-for 17 on the power play. Also entering these playoffs the Leafs were ranked 30th in high danger chances . I give the Leafs alot of respect for their 2-1 vicotry at home last time out, but Im betting it all ends for them here tonight ion Beantown. 

 BOSTON is 18-3 ATS  in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 1 goal or less in 2 straight games are 47-112 L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to win

Right-handers Michael Wacha (2-1, 4.24 ERA) of Kansas City  Royalsand Dane Dunning (3-2, 4.13) of  the Texas  Rangers  will go head to head  on Saturday.

Royals starter WACHA is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WACHA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

KANSAS CITY is 10-0 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. 

MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win

Left-hander Austin Gomber (0-2, 4.50 ERA) will go to the hill for Colorado against Pirates right-hander Jared Jones (2-3, 3.18).

Gomber has faced Pittsburgh eight times (four starts) in his career and is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA and Im betting his luck wont change today. Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Jones  pitched at least five innings in all of his six start.  He has not given up more than three runs in a game and in two starts has allowed one run or less. Advantage Pittsburgh.

COLORADO is 7-33  against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 25-75against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 14-6  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

The Minnesota Wolves and Denver Nuggets own two grinding defenses and slow paced attacks. But despite of this still have enough weapons to put a generous amount of points on the board. In a game Im betting will be close, my projections estimate both sides will put up +104 points which qualifies on an over wager. 

DENVER is 19-5 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average  228.4 ppg scored.DENVER L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. 

Minnesota L/ 82 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 25-12 OVER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored,

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games in 498 games  spanning 27 seasons has seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored spanning 5 seasons and 252 games.

These teams have gone over the total in 7 of the 9 games in the Mile High city. Only 1 times in the L/13 meetings in this series have seen these teams combined for less than this offered totals number. 

Play over

 Reds starter LODOLO is 14-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CINCINNATI is 15-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons like Kremer. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - excellent power team ( 1.5 or more  HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 7-36 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to win

Both of todays starters Carrasco and Canning have not looked great this season, but the far superior bullpen is owned by the Guardians who have garnered a 2.20 ERA. MLB  The edge on offense for the Guardians also gives us an advantage  as they average of 5 rpg compared to the Angels 4.2 rpg output. 

Home teams (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-23 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

In game 5 of this series  in Ohio the Magic and Cavs took part in a very close 104-103 tilt that saw the Cavs come out of it with a narrow victory. Last time out in Orlando we saw another close game with the Magic pulling ahead very late for a 103-96 victory. Im betting on more grinding action but as this game winds down Im also expecting alot more aggressive offensive output in this do or die situation. My totals number for this game is 200 so a full possession edge to the over is my call. Bickerstaff in 13  all playoff games as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 198 ppg scored.Bickerstaff in 49  home games revenging a road loss vs opponent as the coach of CLEVELAND have seen a combined average of 220.6 ppg. Bickerstaff in 80  home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.Mosley in 106 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of ORLANDO has seen a combined average of 220.7 ppg scored.

CLEVELAND is 11-3 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored.

Play over